INFLUÊNCIA DO VALOR DE MERCADO NO FUTEBOL: ANÁLISE DAS COPAS DO MUNDO DE 2014 E 2018

Rafael Guerino Silva, Mariana Menezes Saraiva, Fábio Saraiva Flôres

Resumo


O objetivo dessa pesquisa foi analisar a influência do valor de mercado na performance esportiva das seleções durante as Copas do Mundo de 2014 e de 2018. Foram estudadas todas as equipes participantes das duas edições, somando 64 seleções. Os dados referentes aos valores de mercado dos jogadores e suas seleções foram coletados usando o site Transfermarkt® e, os demais dados, utilizando o site oficial da Federação Internacional de Futebol. Os resultados mostram que há diferença entre o valor de mercado comparando as duas edições, identificando que ocorreu um aumento no valor das seleções de 2014 até 2018. Houve associação positiva entre o valor de mercado das equipes e a posição final na Copa do Mundo de 2014, o que não foi constatado na edição de 2018. Conclui-se que as equipes mais valiosas tendem a apresentar melhores desempenhos que as demais. Assim, buscar entender como o valor de mercado reflete o desempenho esportivo parece ser de fundamental interesse aos profissionais que trabalham com o futebol.

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